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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.85+14.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+5.71vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19+5.94vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+4.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+5.95vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.02+8.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.81+3.67vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42+4.64vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.07+0.11vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-6.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.83+4.38vs Predicted
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12University of Texas1.62-0.49vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.89-6.90vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.47-6.45vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.14-1.06vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.49vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.69-5.86vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-0.03+0.43vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii1.74-8.30vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley1.40-7.64vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon0.78-5.48vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay1.63-11.49vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-0.78-4.37vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz-1.37-4.28vs Predicted
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27University of Puget Sound-1.65-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.03Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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8.29California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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14.4Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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12.64Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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3.41Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Texas1.620.0%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.94Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.51California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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18.43University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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11.51California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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20.63University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
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21.72University of California at Santa Cruz-1.370.0%1st Place
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22.39University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Sandifer | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 27.4% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Settle | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 23.0% | 24.3% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Esch | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 14.6% | 30.0% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 12.6% | 25.4% | 46.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.