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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.48+6.78vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.62+4.83vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+5.61vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.70+2.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09-0.89vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09-2.77vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.05+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.79-2.51vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.34-1.26vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-3.25vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.56vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-6.28vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.08-1.19vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-2.02-0.49vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University-0.84-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Northeastern University1.2210.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont0.485.3%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University0.626.6%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University0.544.3%1st Place
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7.78University of Wisconsin0.707.6%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University0.938.2%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida1.0910.1%1st Place
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5.23North Carolina State University1.0914.1%1st Place
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10.76Boston University-0.053.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island0.796.8%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College0.343.7%1st Place
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8.75Jacksonville University0.485.1%1st Place
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11.44SUNY Maritime College-0.272.5%1st Place
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7.72Old Dominion University0.687.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Michigan-1.081.1%1st Place
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15.51University of Miami-2.020.4%1st Place
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9.55Christopher Newport University-0.844.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 5.1% |
| Megan Geith | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 29.5% | 22.4% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 62.4% |
| Laura Smith | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.