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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+4.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+4.76vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+1.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68+1.86vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79-1.58vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54-0.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.34-1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62-4.14vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-3.32vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.41vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.08-2.22vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-2.02-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98University of South Florida1.0910.0%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University0.938.6%1st Place
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7.76University of Wisconsin0.706.5%1st Place
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4.96North Carolina State University1.0916.0%1st Place
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6.04Northeastern University1.2210.4%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University0.686.0%1st Place
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8.7Jacksonville University0.484.7%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont0.484.3%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island0.798.1%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University0.544.2%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College0.344.2%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University0.625.9%1st Place
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9.77Christopher Newport University-0.843.9%1st Place
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10.68Boston University-0.054.0%1st Place
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11.59SUNY Maritime College-0.272.3%1st Place
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13.78University of Michigan-1.080.9%1st Place
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15.67University of Miami-2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emma Shakespeare | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Avery Canavan | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Mary Castellini | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Isabella du Plessis | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Eva Ermlich | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Megan Geith | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Audrey Commerford | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
Leah Rickard | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
Hailey Pemberton | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Caylin Schnoor | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Laura Smith | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
Madeline Stull | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
Isabelle Gautier | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 4.7% |
Anna Brieden | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 29.8% | 21.5% |
Olivia Campmany | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.