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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+4.95vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+2.96vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.79+2.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.70+0.87vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+1.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.34+0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48-1.34vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.42vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-5.06vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.05-2.24vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.24vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.68-8.07vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-2.02-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of South Florida1.0910.4%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University1.0914.2%1st Place
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5.96Northeastern University1.2210.9%1st Place
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8.71Jacksonville University0.484.3%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island0.797.2%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University0.627.3%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin0.706.5%1st Place
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9.47Fordham University0.544.3%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College0.343.9%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont0.484.9%1st Place
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11.42SUNY Maritime College-0.273.1%1st Place
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6.94George Washington University0.939.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston University-0.052.7%1st Place
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9.76Christopher Newport University-0.843.5%1st Place
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13.93University of Michigan-1.081.3%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University0.686.2%1st Place
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15.66University of Miami-2.020.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 31.1% | 21.3% |
| Megan Geith | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 15.0% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.