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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+10.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+4.67vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+8.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.83+10.10vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.28+1.49vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.89-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40+3.30vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.62+1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.69+0.40vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.78+3.38vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.03+4.69vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.07-5.68vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.32vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.02-2.63vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.63-6.32vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.81-8.41vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California2.47-12.29vs Predicted
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21University of Hawaii1.74-10.32vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University1.14-8.50vs Predicted
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23Oregon State University0.85-7.77vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-0.78-4.39vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz-1.37-4.24vs Predicted
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27University of Puget Sound-1.65-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.12University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.77Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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15.1University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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8.13California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Texas1.620.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.38University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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18.69University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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11.68California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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14.37Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.68California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.5Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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15.23Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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20.61University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
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21.76University of California at Santa Cruz-1.370.0%1st Place
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22.4University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 24.2% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Settle | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 24.3% | 23.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Esch | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 14.5% | 29.0% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 11.5% | 27.5% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.