← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.09+4.28vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.09+4.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.79+4.55vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.82+3.54vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University0.62+3.04vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.70+1.89vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.22-0.94vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.34+1.73vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University0.68-0.90vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.48-1.29vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University0.93-4.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan-1.08+1.88vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University0.54-3.33vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.40vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.52vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-0.05-5.11vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami-2.02-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.28North Carolina State University1.0911.8%1st Place
-
6.02University of South Florida1.0911.7%1st Place
-
7.55University of Rhode Island0.796.2%1st Place
-
7.54Jacksonville University0.827.5%1st Place
-
8.04Roger Williams University0.625.7%1st Place
-
7.89University of Wisconsin0.706.9%1st Place
-
6.06Northeastern University1.2210.8%1st Place
-
9.73Connecticut College0.344.0%1st Place
-
8.1Old Dominion University0.686.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Vermont0.484.4%1st Place
-
6.93George Washington University0.939.3%1st Place
-
13.88University of Michigan-1.081.2%1st Place
-
9.67Fordham University0.544.3%1st Place
-
9.6Christopher Newport University-0.843.9%1st Place
-
11.48SUNY Maritime College-0.272.8%1st Place
-
10.89Boston University-0.053.2%1st Place
-
15.63University of Miami-2.020.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Megan Geith | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 29.8% | 21.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Laura Smith | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 5.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.