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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.62+6.49vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+3.72vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+4.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+2.73vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.79+1.03vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09-2.16vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+1.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.34+0.45vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68-2.66vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.05-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.70-4.39vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.95vs Predicted
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14University of Miami-2.02+0.62vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.08-2.01vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.27-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Roger Williams University0.627.1%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.0911.5%1st Place
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7.23Jacksonville University0.827.3%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University0.938.2%1st Place
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5.71Northeastern University1.2210.7%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island0.798.3%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University1.0913.6%1st Place
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9.22Fordham University0.544.2%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College0.343.6%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University0.686.9%1st Place
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10.09Boston University-0.052.9%1st Place
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7.61University of Wisconsin0.706.6%1st Place
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9.05Christopher Newport University-0.844.7%1st Place
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14.62University of Miami-2.020.5%1st Place
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12.99University of Michigan-1.081.5%1st Place
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10.87SUNY Maritime College-0.272.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Megan Geith | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Laura Smith | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 15.3% | 62.3% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 30.3% | 22.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.