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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+4.99vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.63+9.61vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.28+5.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+5.96vs Predicted
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6University of Texas1.62+5.72vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+1.14vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.80-4.58vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.78+6.22vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University0.85+5.07vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.69+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.07-2.60vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.42-0.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.40-1.58vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.74-3.80vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.14-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.81-6.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.83-2.69vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.02-5.92vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon-0.03-2.72vs Predicted
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23University of Southern California2.47-15.33vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay1.63-12.39vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-0.78-4.35vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz-1.37-4.24vs Predicted
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27University of Puget Sound-1.65-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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11.61California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Texas1.620.0%1st Place
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8.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.42Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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15.22University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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15.07Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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12.71Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.82Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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14.08Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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18.28University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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11.61California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
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21.76University of California at Santa Cruz-1.370.0%1st Place
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22.38University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Settle | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 25.6% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Esch | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 29.0% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 26.6% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.