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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.62+6.53vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+2.63vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.70+2.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+0.56vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.27+3.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79-1.94vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54-0.84vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.52-2.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.05-2.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.27-4.12vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.08-1.96vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-2.02-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Roger Williams University0.627.0%1st Place
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4.92North Carolina State University1.0914.2%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida1.0911.6%1st Place
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7.14Jacksonville University0.827.3%1st Place
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7.47University of Wisconsin0.706.4%1st Place
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6.56George Washington University0.938.6%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Maritime College-0.272.5%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University1.2210.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island0.797.7%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University0.544.7%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College0.525.5%1st Place
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9.94Boston University-0.053.5%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University0.274.9%1st Place
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9.12Christopher Newport University-0.844.2%1st Place
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13.04University of Michigan-1.081.4%1st Place
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14.73University of Miami-2.020.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 4.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| Emma Friedauer | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Laura Smith | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 29.8% | 21.6% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 14.9% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.