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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+5.39vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay1.63+8.21vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.19+3.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.83+8.73vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.72+3.66vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.69+2.91vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42+2.75vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.62+1.10vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-1.23vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.07-3.97vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-6.07vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.47-7.71vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University0.85-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-6.45vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University1.14-5.86vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon-0.03-2.16vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley1.40-9.20vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.33-4.33vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.08-5.77vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.37-3.49vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon-1.21-4.99vs Predicted
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27University of Puget Sound-1.65-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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11.21California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.01Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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10.66Western Washington University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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11.75Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Texas1.620.0%1st Place
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11.21California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.93California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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14.71Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.14Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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17.84University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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18.67University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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18.23University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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21.51University of California at Santa Cruz-1.370.0%1st Place
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21.01University of Oregon-1.210.0%1st Place
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22.07University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 27.8% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Colebrook | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Settle | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Esch | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 25.3% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lindsey | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.