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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+2.24vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+12.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+4.40vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+3.59vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.19+3.41vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74+3.57vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.89-2.14vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42+2.72vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.69+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-0.18vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.72-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.40-0.67vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.10vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.14-1.54vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.10vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.62-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.07-9.03vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.83-5.24vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon-0.03-3.47vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.33vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.08-5.78vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.37-3.50vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon-1.21-4.98vs Predicted
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27University of Puget Sound-1.65-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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14.67Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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7.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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5.86Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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11.72Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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10.67Western Washington University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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10.9California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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13.46Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.9California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Texas1.620.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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17.53University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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18.67University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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18.22University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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21.5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.370.0%1st Place
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21.02University of Oregon-1.210.0%1st Place
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22.07University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 26.5% | 20.7% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Colebrook | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Settle | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Esch | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 24.9% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lindsey | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 24.6% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.