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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+4.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.79+5.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+4.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+1.72vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+1.64vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-1.26vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62-0.54vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.82-1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.05+0.09vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.27-2.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-3.80vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-4.01vs Predicted
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14University of Miami-2.02+0.72vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.27-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8University of South Florida1.0910.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island0.797.8%1st Place
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7.34University of Wisconsin0.706.1%1st Place
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5.72Northeastern University1.2211.2%1st Place
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6.64George Washington University0.938.6%1st Place
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4.74North Carolina State University1.0915.3%1st Place
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9.16Christopher Newport University-0.844.7%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University0.627.0%1st Place
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7.13Jacksonville University0.827.8%1st Place
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10.09Boston University-0.053.0%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University0.274.5%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College0.525.5%1st Place
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8.99Fordham University0.544.3%1st Place
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14.72University of Miami-2.020.4%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan-1.080.9%1st Place
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10.87SUNY Maritime College-0.272.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 12.9% | 65.3% |
| Anna Brieden | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 34.2% | 20.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.