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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+4.81vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.63+9.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80+0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.14+9.52vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69+5.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.19+1.56vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40+2.85vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.02+3.80vs Predicted
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11University of Texas1.62+0.25vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University0.85+2.59vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.42-0.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.71-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.13vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.78-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-6.49vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.47-10.58vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay1.63-7.83vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii2.07-11.22vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.14vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon-0.03-3.82vs Predicted
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24University of Puget Sound-1.65-1.79vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.78-5.80vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.37-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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11.17California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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13.52Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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7.76California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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13.8Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Texas1.620.0%1st Place
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14.59Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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12.19Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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11.17California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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18.86University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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18.18University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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22.21University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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20.2University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
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21.68University of California at Santa Cruz-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 24.7% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Settle | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 23.5% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Esch | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 16.3% | 26.6% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.