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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.48+7.19vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+4.57vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+1.62vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.52+3.23vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.70+1.27vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+2.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.27+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79-2.06vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.84vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.78vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-6.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.08-1.10vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.05-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-2.02-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Jacksonville University0.485.1%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University0.939.2%1st Place
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4.7North Carolina State University1.0915.7%1st Place
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5.62University of South Florida1.0911.2%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College0.526.6%1st Place
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7.27University of Wisconsin0.706.7%1st Place
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9.03Fordham University0.543.9%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University0.275.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island0.796.9%1st Place
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10.84SUNY Maritime College-0.272.1%1st Place
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9.22Christopher Newport University-0.844.4%1st Place
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5.6Northeastern University1.2211.9%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University0.627.1%1st Place
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12.9University of Michigan-1.081.2%1st Place
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10.08Boston University-0.052.8%1st Place
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14.66University of Miami-2.020.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 5.9% |
| Laura Smith | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 28.9% | 21.6% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 15.6% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.