Race 1A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brendan Cook 25.4% 27.2% 19.3% 15.1% 7.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 37.5% 26.3% 17.2% 10.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 8.6% 10.2% 13.8% 15.6% 13.9% 14.3% 10.4% 8.1% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Zachary O'Brien 3.4% 5.9% 6.4% 8.1% 10.3% 13.6% 15.0% 15.2% 13.8% 7.3% 1.0%
Matteo Alampi 6.1% 7.4% 10.6% 11.0% 13.7% 13.3% 13.5% 10.9% 9.6% 3.5% 0.4%
Andrew Morgan 5.1% 8.2% 9.7% 11.2% 13.9% 14.4% 12.1% 11.5% 9.6% 3.7% 0.6%
Zach Shapiro 4.7% 5.6% 7.5% 9.8% 13.0% 11.0% 14.6% 14.6% 11.4% 6.6% 1.2%
Charles Cahill 2.9% 2.0% 2.9% 5.6% 6.9% 8.7% 12.2% 13.7% 21.0% 18.3% 5.8%
Genevieve Marquardt 5.3% 6.0% 10.2% 10.5% 12.0% 12.9% 13.4% 14.4% 10.3% 3.6% 1.4%
Dustin Hofer 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 6.5% 12.1% 32.5% 34.6%
Maggie McDonald 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 4.4% 7.9% 23.6% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.