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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+5.58vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+3.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+5.84vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+4.18vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54+3.94vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.70+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.79+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09-2.58vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-4.18vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.93vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-3.62vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-3.65vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.22vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-2.02-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58George Washington University0.938.4%1st Place
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5.62Northeastern University1.2212.6%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University0.274.5%1st Place
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8.18Jacksonville University0.485.3%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University0.544.9%1st Place
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7.22University of Wisconsin0.707.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island0.797.4%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.0912.6%1st Place
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4.82North Carolina State University1.0913.8%1st Place
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9.07Christopher Newport University-0.844.7%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University0.626.6%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College0.525.0%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College-0.273.3%1st Place
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9.93Boston University-0.052.8%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan-1.081.1%1st Place
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14.69University of Miami-2.020.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 5.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 31.5% | 22.8% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 16.3% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.