← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.09+3.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.79+4.96vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.09+2.69vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University0.62+3.53vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.34+4.01vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University0.68+1.58vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.27+3.82vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.22-2.36vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.48-0.75vs Predicted
-
10Boston University-0.05+0.03vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University0.93-4.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin0.70-4.47vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University0.54-4.07vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.90vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami-2.02-0.44vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-1.08-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8North Carolina State University1.0914.6%1st Place
-
6.96University of Rhode Island0.797.8%1st Place
-
5.69University of South Florida1.0911.1%1st Place
-
7.53Roger Williams University0.626.0%1st Place
-
9.01Connecticut College0.343.8%1st Place
-
7.58Old Dominion University0.685.9%1st Place
-
10.82SUNY Maritime College-0.272.8%1st Place
-
5.64Northeastern University1.2213.4%1st Place
-
8.25Jacksonville University0.485.3%1st Place
-
10.03Boston University-0.053.5%1st Place
-
6.54George Washington University0.939.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of Wisconsin0.706.7%1st Place
-
8.93Fordham University0.544.5%1st Place
-
9.1Christopher Newport University-0.843.9%1st Place
-
14.56University of Miami-2.020.5%1st Place
-
13.02University of Michigan-1.081.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Megan Geith | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 6.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Laura Smith | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Campmany | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 14.9% | 61.8% |
| Anna Brieden | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 31.1% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.