Race 2A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emmett Weeks 7.6% 11.7% 13.8% 15.9% 15.5% 14.9% 10.1% 6.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Dan Nickerson 36.4% 27.9% 16.5% 10.6% 5.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Genevieve Marquardt 5.7% 4.8% 8.0% 11.2% 12.2% 14.3% 13.7% 13.4% 11.7% 4.3% 0.7%
Brendan Cook 25.4% 26.3% 19.8% 13.1% 8.2% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Matteo Alampi 6.9% 6.7% 10.2% 12.7% 11.1% 12.8% 14.5% 12.6% 9.0% 3.2% 0.3%
Andrew Morgan 5.6% 7.3% 10.4% 10.6% 13.1% 13.6% 13.7% 11.4% 9.0% 4.5% 0.8%
Charles Cahill 2.5% 3.7% 3.4% 4.9% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 12.8% 25.4% 16.6% 5.3%
Zachary O'Brien 4.5% 5.1% 7.8% 9.4% 12.4% 12.9% 12.9% 16.7% 11.1% 5.8% 1.4%
Maggie McDonald 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 1.9% 1.3% 2.9% 4.2% 6.9% 23.0% 57.3%
Dustin Hofer 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 4.5% 5.5% 11.2% 35.9% 33.0%
Zach Shapiro 3.9% 5.1% 8.4% 9.3% 10.6% 13.4% 14.1% 15.5% 12.9% 5.7% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.