← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.07+3.61vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.41+0.31vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.51+2.90vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.13-1.22vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.61+0.52vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-0.39vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.25-1.90vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.29-2.90vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-2.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02-1.05vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy-0.58-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
-
2.31Tufts University3.410.4%1st Place
-
5.9Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
-
2.78Boston University3.130.3%1st Place
-
5.52Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
-
6.1Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
-
6.1University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.41Maine Maritime Academy-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 36.2% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 5.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 25.4% | 26.2% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Morgan | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Charles Cahill | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 7.6% |
| Maggie McDonald | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 9.1% | 22.1% | 55.9% |
| Dustin Hofer | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 35.2% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.