Race 6A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dan Nickerson 36.4% 26.6% 18.0% 10.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 9.9% 11.2% 14.9% 15.8% 14.9% 13.4% 8.0% 7.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Andrew Morgan 5.6% 7.2% 8.0% 10.7% 12.9% 13.2% 15.0% 14.0% 9.5% 3.8% 0.1%
Brendan Cook 24.8% 26.5% 20.6% 13.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Genevieve Marquardt 5.9% 6.9% 9.1% 9.7% 12.4% 13.8% 13.6% 12.6% 11.0% 4.3% 0.7%
Zachary O'Brien 4.1% 5.2% 7.5% 9.3% 12.0% 11.6% 15.2% 14.4% 13.5% 5.9% 1.3%
Zach Shapiro 4.6% 4.9% 8.5% 9.6% 10.8% 12.9% 14.5% 14.9% 11.8% 6.3% 1.2%
Charles Cahill 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.4% 7.2% 9.1% 11.6% 13.6% 21.7% 18.4% 5.8%
Matteo Alampi 5.3% 7.4% 8.9% 12.7% 12.6% 13.2% 14.0% 12.2% 9.2% 3.3% 1.2%
Dustin Hofer 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 3.6% 6.6% 11.2% 33.4% 34.7%
Maggie McDonald 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 8.1% 23.7% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.