Race 7A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brendan Cook 25.5% 26.2% 21.7% 13.5% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 37.8% 25.3% 18.3% 9.6% 5.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 8.2% 11.1% 12.6% 15.1% 15.4% 13.7% 10.3% 8.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Zach Shapiro 3.4% 5.9% 5.7% 7.7% 9.8% 12.8% 16.5% 15.7% 13.2% 7.7% 1.6%
Matteo Alampi 6.1% 7.0% 10.5% 11.6% 13.3% 13.7% 13.5% 11.4% 9.3% 2.9% 0.7%
Andrew Morgan 5.2% 8.0% 9.2% 11.8% 12.2% 14.6% 13.4% 12.7% 8.4% 3.9% 0.6%
Maggie McDonald 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.8% 1.3% 2.5% 3.6% 8.8% 23.1% 54.0%
Charles Cahill 2.9% 2.0% 3.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.1% 10.7% 13.8% 21.8% 17.5% 6.3%
Zachary O'Brien 4.2% 6.0% 6.7% 10.0% 10.2% 13.5% 13.2% 14.2% 13.9% 5.9% 2.2%
Genevieve Marquardt 5.6% 7.1% 10.0% 11.5% 12.7% 12.6% 13.6% 13.5% 8.9% 4.0% 0.5%
Dustin Hofer 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.9% 3.5% 2.5% 4.1% 6.2% 11.5% 34.0% 34.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.