Race 8A

admiral-alymers

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dan Nickerson 33.9% 29.3% 17.7% 12.1% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Cook 27.7% 24.7% 20.1% 13.1% 8.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Morgan 5.5% 6.7% 9.0% 11.1% 12.0% 14.0% 14.2% 14.5% 9.2% 3.3% 0.5%
Zach Shapiro 3.7% 4.7% 6.3% 8.7% 9.2% 13.6% 15.1% 15.3% 14.1% 8.1% 1.2%
Genevieve Marquardt 5.3% 7.3% 9.4% 9.9% 14.5% 11.4% 13.9% 13.7% 9.4% 4.6% 0.6%
Emmett Weeks 9.7% 10.9% 14.8% 14.6% 15.7% 13.0% 9.8% 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 5.0% 5.6% 7.5% 10.9% 11.5% 13.8% 14.1% 13.4% 11.6% 5.6% 1.0%
Charles Cahill 2.8% 1.6% 3.4% 5.3% 7.0% 9.3% 11.2% 14.0% 21.2% 18.4% 5.8%
Matteo Alampi 5.2% 8.0% 9.9% 12.1% 12.8% 13.2% 13.9% 11.5% 9.4% 2.9% 1.1%
Dustin Hofer 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 6.1% 13.0% 32.4% 34.7%
Maggie McDonald 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 4.0% 8.0% 23.6% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.