Race 9A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kyle Carney 33.5% 30.0% 17.4% 10.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 39.5% 28.6% 19.0% 8.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Morgan 5.2% 8.0% 11.4% 14.5% 14.7% 16.6% 15.2% 10.2% 3.7% 0.5%
Peter Bailey 5.1% 10.1% 16.2% 17.8% 17.2% 12.6% 12.9% 6.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Zachary O'Brien 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 10.6% 15.8% 17.0% 16.5% 13.5% 6.2% 1.4%
Charles Cahill 2.1% 3.7% 4.2% 6.1% 8.1% 10.9% 15.1% 24.1% 19.2% 6.5%
Matteo Alampi 5.0% 7.3% 11.9% 16.3% 16.6% 16.7% 12.6% 9.9% 3.1% 0.6%
Dustin Hofer 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 3.2% 7.2% 12.5% 34.4% 34.3%
Zach Shapiro 4.1% 4.7% 9.7% 11.7% 13.9% 16.9% 15.3% 15.8% 6.5% 1.4%
Maggie McDonald 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 4.0% 7.8% 25.0% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.