Race 10A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kyle Carney 33.6% 30.3% 16.7% 10.5% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 38.2% 29.3% 19.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Morgan 5.2% 8.2% 11.5% 13.9% 15.1% 18.9% 13.5% 10.1% 3.2% 0.4%
Matteo Alampi 4.5% 7.8% 12.2% 16.5% 16.7% 15.8% 13.2% 9.6% 3.2% 0.5%
Peter Bailey 7.4% 9.9% 13.8% 17.5% 17.8% 13.4% 11.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.3%
Zachary O'Brien 4.6% 5.8% 10.1% 10.9% 12.9% 17.3% 17.6% 13.5% 6.0% 1.3%
Dustin Hofer 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 3.0% 3.6% 6.0% 12.4% 35.4% 35.7%
Charles Cahill 1.6% 2.8% 4.7% 7.9% 7.6% 10.9% 15.8% 25.1% 17.9% 5.7%
Zach Shapiro 3.8% 5.0% 9.6% 12.2% 14.7% 14.1% 17.6% 14.8% 6.8% 1.4%
Maggie McDonald 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 2.9% 2.2% 3.9% 8.4% 25.3% 54.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.