Race 11A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kyle Carney 34.1% 29.3% 18.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 38.5% 29.2% 19.1% 9.1% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matteo Alampi 5.6% 7.9% 11.5% 14.1% 16.2% 16.8% 15.4% 8.6% 3.5% 0.4%
Andrew Morgan 4.1% 7.9% 11.5% 17.0% 16.1% 15.3% 14.4% 8.9% 4.2% 0.6%
Peter Bailey 7.2% 10.3% 13.8% 17.5% 17.4% 14.0% 10.9% 6.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Zachary O'Brien 4.7% 6.0% 9.8% 11.5% 13.6% 15.5% 16.1% 14.8% 7.1% 0.9%
Zach Shapiro 3.2% 5.3% 8.5% 12.8% 14.6% 16.2% 15.8% 15.9% 5.7% 2.0%
Dustin Hofer 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.3% 3.2% 4.4% 6.7% 11.6% 34.6% 34.5%
Charles Cahill 1.8% 2.7% 5.3% 5.8% 7.7% 11.7% 15.1% 26.2% 17.4% 6.3%
Maggie McDonald 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 2.7% 2.2% 4.9% 7.3% 25.3% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.