Race 12A

admiral-alymers

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Willem Sandberg 39.6% 29.8% 16.9% 8.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 33.1% 29.3% 20.8% 10.1% 4.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Morgan 6.0% 6.9% 11.1% 13.6% 16.1% 17.2% 15.1% 9.2% 4.3% 0.5%
Peter Bailey 5.1% 9.7% 16.3% 16.4% 17.5% 14.2% 11.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Dustin Hofer 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 6.9% 10.6% 32.8% 35.9%
Zachary O'Brien 4.9% 6.5% 8.8% 11.8% 13.5% 16.7% 15.7% 14.0% 6.4% 1.7%
Matteo Alampi 5.1% 6.8% 11.4% 17.2% 16.1% 16.4% 14.4% 8.5% 3.4% 0.7%
Maggie McDonald 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 5.1% 8.8% 24.2% 54.8%
Charles Cahill 2.0% 2.9% 4.3% 6.3% 8.2% 11.0% 15.5% 24.0% 20.5% 5.3%
Zach Shapiro 3.1% 6.2% 8.9% 11.7% 15.6% 14.8% 14.7% 16.8% 7.2% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.