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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+10.62vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+7.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+2.40vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+5.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+2.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.67vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.37+3.24vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+2.56vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-1.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69+1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.48vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.64-7.49vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.01vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.88-5.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.41vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.34-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.62Brown University1.802.8%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College2.074.4%1st Place
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5.4Yale University2.7113.5%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston1.455.2%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.108.2%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
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10.24Georgetown University1.373.6%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.409.4%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College1.875.9%1st Place
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12.25Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania1.725.1%1st Place
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5.51Stanford University2.6413.1%1st Place
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11.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.4%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University1.885.2%1st Place
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13.26U. S. Naval Academy0.521.9%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.4%1st Place
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10.48Tulane University1.344.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 23.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.