Race 1B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kelly McGlynn 28.7% 25.6% 19.7% 14.2% 5.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 28.0% 23.2% 16.7% 14.0% 9.8% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.7% 10.8% 12.1% 13.1% 15.0% 12.5% 8.8% 3.3%
Mary Clawson 3.9% 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 10.2% 11.9% 15.2% 15.3% 12.2% 8.9% 3.4%
Steven Bell 2.7% 3.4% 3.6% 4.3% 6.5% 8.1% 10.4% 12.0% 17.3% 18.9% 12.8%
James Scanlon 10.5% 12.1% 14.2% 13.0% 15.4% 12.3% 10.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.1%
Lindsay Wright 5.4% 5.7% 7.1% 9.7% 11.1% 12.8% 12.3% 13.1% 12.4% 7.8% 2.6%
Evan Gregory 9.4% 9.0% 14.9% 15.2% 13.6% 10.8% 10.7% 9.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Jackson Chabot 4.9% 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 10.5% 14.3% 12.8% 13.3% 10.9% 5.4% 2.7%
Bailey Rice 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.5% 5.0% 6.8% 11.0% 19.8% 45.5%
Francis Dougherty 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 5.3% 6.7% 8.1% 13.7% 26.7% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.