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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+10.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+6.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+6.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+2.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+0.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.66vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.37+2.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-1.17vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.88+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99+1.67vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.64-5.28vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.57vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.34-4.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-7.32vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-4.60vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.56Brown University1.802.6%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College1.877.4%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston1.454.8%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University2.109.8%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.7115.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.4%1st Place
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9.98Georgetown University1.374.5%1st Place
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6.83Boston College2.408.0%1st Place
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9.03Cornell University1.885.2%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island0.992.5%1st Place
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5.72Stanford University2.6411.7%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College2.075.2%1st Place
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9.61University of Pennsylvania1.725.1%1st Place
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13.43U. S. Naval Academy0.521.7%1st Place
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10.27Tulane University1.343.7%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
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12.4Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
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12.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 23.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.