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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.52+12.42vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+7.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.87+5.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+8.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.80+6.68vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-0.27vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40-0.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.85vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45-0.58vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.88-1.47vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.73-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-1.05vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.79vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.30vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.30-12.36vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.19vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.37-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.42U. S. Naval Academy0.521.5%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College2.074.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College1.875.5%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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11.68Brown University1.802.9%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.7111.3%1st Place
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6.84Boston College2.409.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.106.9%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.3%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston1.453.7%1st Place
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9.53Cornell University1.884.8%1st Place
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8.9Tulane University1.734.3%1st Place
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11.95University of Rhode Island0.991.9%1st Place
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12.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.8%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.6%1st Place
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3.64Stanford University3.3022.8%1st Place
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9.81University of Pennsylvania1.724.2%1st Place
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10.37Georgetown University1.373.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 24.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Snead | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Grace Squires | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.8% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.