Race 2B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Proctor 26.0% 22.0% 20.3% 13.7% 9.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 4.4% 5.6% 7.4% 8.2% 11.4% 12.5% 13.7% 13.9% 12.4% 8.0% 2.5%
Evan Gregory 8.5% 8.6% 11.7% 14.7% 12.4% 12.7% 12.3% 10.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.4%
James Scanlon 8.7% 12.9% 12.7% 15.5% 14.5% 13.3% 10.0% 7.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Lindsay Wright 4.6% 7.2% 6.7% 9.1% 9.0% 12.7% 12.2% 13.8% 12.4% 9.7% 2.6%
Kelly McGlynn 31.9% 26.5% 18.2% 9.5% 6.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Clawson 5.6% 6.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.7% 11.1% 14.0% 14.0% 11.3% 7.8% 2.2%
Jackson Chabot 5.5% 6.1% 9.0% 10.4% 13.3% 12.6% 12.9% 10.5% 11.9% 6.4% 1.4%
Steven Bell 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 5.3% 8.0% 9.9% 13.2% 18.8% 18.9% 12.5%
Francis Dougherty 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 3.9% 6.0% 9.2% 12.6% 24.0% 33.4%
Bailey Rice 1.1% 0.4% 0.9% 2.7% 3.5% 3.2% 5.1% 6.4% 11.1% 21.0% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.