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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.60vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+7.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.80+8.73vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-0.38vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+2.04vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+4.40vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.66vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87-0.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69+2.44vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-3.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.38vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-4.20vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-4.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.14vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.88-6.43vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-5.19vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Yale University2.7112.3%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College2.074.0%1st Place
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11.73Brown University1.802.5%1st Place
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3.62Stanford University3.3023.9%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.408.2%1st Place
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10.4Georgetown University1.373.4%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.7%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College1.875.1%1st Place
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12.44Tufts University0.691.7%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.107.6%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Naval Academy0.521.2%1st Place
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8.8Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston1.453.8%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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9.57Cornell University1.884.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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12.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.9% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Emma Snead | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 22.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Grace Squires | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.