Race 3B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kelly McGlynn 29.1% 24.5% 19.8% 14.4% 7.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Clawson 4.7% 5.3% 7.5% 8.7% 10.7% 11.9% 14.5% 13.4% 13.2% 8.1% 2.0%
Priscilla Stoll 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 10.3% 10.8% 15.9% 14.6% 12.4% 8.3% 3.3%
Steven Bell 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 4.2% 5.3% 7.8% 9.9% 13.3% 18.0% 21.5% 11.9%
Charles Proctor 26.6% 23.2% 18.4% 12.0% 10.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 9.8% 12.7% 14.3% 16.2% 13.9% 11.3% 8.1% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Evan Gregory 9.5% 11.0% 13.0% 14.2% 13.1% 13.6% 10.9% 8.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Lindsay Wright 4.9% 5.7% 6.5% 8.8% 10.7% 14.2% 13.5% 12.9% 13.2% 7.7% 1.9%
Francis Dougherty 1.4% 1.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 5.5% 5.2% 8.2% 13.2% 22.7% 35.4%
Jackson Chabot 5.8% 6.8% 8.4% 9.1% 12.6% 13.1% 13.4% 12.9% 9.7% 6.1% 2.1%
Bailey Rice 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.6% 11.7% 22.1% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.