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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.94vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+6.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.80+7.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-1.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79+2.84vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87+1.62vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07+1.63vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40-2.15vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99+0.68vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.73-3.29vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.37-2.69vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-2.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.68vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.29vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Yale University2.7113.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.6%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University1.884.4%1st Place
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11.79Brown University1.802.8%1st Place
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3.49Stanford University3.3024.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University1.795.5%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College1.874.7%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.073.8%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.407.3%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston1.454.5%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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8.71Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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10.31Georgetown University1.373.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.3%1st Place
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12.27Tufts University0.692.3%1st Place
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13.32U. S. Naval Academy0.521.7%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
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12.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 24.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.