Race 5B

admiral-alymers

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Proctor 24.8% 24.4% 20.1% 12.9% 9.5% 5.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 32.6% 24.9% 17.4% 11.4% 8.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 4.7% 4.7% 7.8% 6.8% 11.1% 12.6% 13.8% 13.2% 14.1% 8.4% 2.8%
James Scanlon 9.7% 11.5% 12.9% 15.4% 14.5% 14.2% 10.2% 6.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Mary Clawson 5.2% 5.3% 8.0% 7.7% 11.0% 11.0% 12.5% 13.5% 13.6% 9.9% 2.3%
Lindsay Wright 4.3% 5.8% 7.2% 9.3% 9.7% 11.5% 14.2% 13.7% 12.3% 8.9% 3.1%
Jackson Chabot 6.4% 6.4% 8.7% 11.7% 10.6% 13.3% 13.3% 11.8% 9.1% 6.5% 2.2%
Francis Dougherty 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 7.1% 9.3% 14.2% 23.0% 32.3%
Evan Gregory 8.0% 11.1% 12.3% 13.0% 12.8% 14.1% 11.4% 9.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Bailey Rice 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.0% 4.9% 7.6% 10.2% 19.7% 46.0%
Steven Bell 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 7.1% 6.4% 7.1% 10.3% 14.2% 17.1% 19.7% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.