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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+7.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.49vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+5.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.80+7.59vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+4.22vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30-2.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-1.20vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07+0.64vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-1.34vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37-0.92vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.45-2.73vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-2.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.63vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.86vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.45-6.46vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Dartmouth College1.876.7%1st Place
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5.49Yale University2.7112.4%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University1.795.1%1st Place
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11.59Brown University1.802.4%1st Place
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9.22Cornell University1.884.4%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University3.3023.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.8%1st Place
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6.8Boston College2.408.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.074.3%1st Place
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8.66Tulane University1.734.5%1st Place
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10.08Georgetown University1.374.5%1st Place
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9.27College of Charleston1.454.2%1st Place
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12.55Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island0.992.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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12.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.3%1st Place
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10.54University of Pennsylvania1.453.1%1st Place
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13.55U. S. Naval Academy0.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.