Race 6B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Proctor 24.6% 25.5% 18.5% 14.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 33.0% 24.9% 16.9% 11.9% 7.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 9.4% 11.1% 15.1% 13.8% 11.9% 13.3% 12.4% 8.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Evan Gregory 7.5% 9.9% 11.6% 11.9% 15.2% 14.7% 11.7% 8.4% 5.4% 3.5% 0.2%
Priscilla Stoll 5.6% 5.3% 8.6% 8.4% 10.2% 11.5% 12.2% 13.6% 13.2% 8.6% 2.8%
Mary Clawson 4.3% 5.9% 6.5% 9.7% 10.6% 11.7% 13.7% 13.9% 10.7% 8.9% 4.1%
Steven Bell 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 4.9% 6.6% 8.3% 10.8% 12.8% 18.9% 17.0% 11.2%
Lindsay Wright 5.3% 4.3% 9.0% 9.5% 12.2% 11.5% 11.6% 13.2% 12.8% 8.0% 2.6%
Jackson Chabot 5.3% 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 10.6% 12.2% 14.1% 13.4% 9.7% 7.0% 3.1%
Francis Dougherty 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 7.8% 14.1% 25.3% 31.6%
Bailey Rice 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 7.6% 11.2% 20.6% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.