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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+2.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+1.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+1.19vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.71-0.75vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59-1.71vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.96-1.29vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.29-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Tufts University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.5Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.05Brown University2.870.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.25Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.29Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.71Northeastern University0.960.0%1st Place
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8.16Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 20.2% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 20.2% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 23.0% | 23.5% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Scanlon | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Evan Gregory | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Wright | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 2.0% |
| Steven Bell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 21.8% | 13.9% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 49.4% |
| Francis Dougherty | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 28.4% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.