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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.58vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+7.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+7.74vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+5.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+3.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40+0.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.80+4.75vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73+0.65vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.30-5.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99+1.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.79-2.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.59vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.88-3.98vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.63vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.37-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.45-5.52vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-4.80vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Yale University2.7111.3%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.074.9%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.9%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston1.454.2%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College1.876.0%1st Place
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6.84Boston College2.408.9%1st Place
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11.75Brown University1.802.2%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University1.735.2%1st Place
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3.56Stanford University3.3023.9%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island0.992.4%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University1.794.5%1st Place
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13.59U. S. Naval Academy0.521.6%1st Place
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9.02Cornell University1.885.1%1st Place
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12.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.8%1st Place
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10.17Georgetown University1.374.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Pennsylvania1.453.1%1st Place
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12.2Tufts University0.692.0%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Emma Snead | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.9% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 23.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.