Race 8B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Proctor 20.9% 19.5% 17.3% 16.6% 12.2% 7.9% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 19.4% 18.7% 17.2% 14.7% 12.8% 7.3% 6.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
James Scanlon 8.0% 8.3% 10.9% 13.8% 11.9% 13.9% 12.7% 11.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Zachary Vickerson 6.7% 7.9% 10.3% 11.7% 13.9% 14.0% 13.6% 11.2% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Evan Gregory 6.5% 9.0% 10.6% 9.8% 13.2% 12.1% 14.4% 12.4% 7.8% 3.8% 0.4%
Kelly McGlynn 25.8% 23.5% 18.8% 12.4% 8.0% 6.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 4.7% 4.6% 6.1% 6.8% 9.4% 13.9% 11.8% 16.6% 14.3% 9.1% 2.7%
Steven Bell 2.6% 1.5% 3.4% 3.0% 5.4% 7.0% 10.2% 13.3% 18.9% 21.8% 12.9%
Lindsay Wright 3.8% 4.8% 3.9% 7.4% 7.8% 10.6% 15.4% 15.7% 16.1% 10.0% 4.5%
Francis Dougherty 0.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 4.1% 5.3% 7.6% 14.5% 26.7% 33.8%
Bailey Rice 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2% 5.8% 12.7% 23.9% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.