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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+6.19vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+7.47vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+6.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.37vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+3.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-0.28vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-1.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.69+2.90vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.80+1.56vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-2.77vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.37-2.03vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.64-7.33vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.62vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-2.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-8.49vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.99-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Yale University2.7112.8%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College1.877.0%1st Place
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10.47Tulane University1.343.7%1st Place
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10.53College of Charleston1.263.8%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.075.7%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.108.6%1st Place
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6.6Boston College2.4010.2%1st Place
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11.9Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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11.56Brown University1.802.8%1st Place
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8.23Cornell University1.795.4%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University1.373.8%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.6411.3%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania1.724.5%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Naval Academy0.522.4%1st Place
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13.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.5%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.7%1st Place
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11.46University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 22.4% |
| Brook Wood | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 23.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.