← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.14+0.72vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-0.60+1.90vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.09+0.12vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.12vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-1.73+0.35vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-0.57-2.27vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.72University of Wisconsin1.1455.1%1st Place
-
3.9Michigan State University-0.608.6%1st Place
-
3.12Marquette University-0.0914.8%1st Place
-
4.12Grand Valley State University-0.857.3%1st Place
-
5.35Western Michigan University-1.732.9%1st Place
-
3.73Hope College-0.579.3%1st Place
-
6.07Michigan Technological University-1.711.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 55.1% | 26.1% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.6% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 4.0% |
| Eli Erling | 14.8% | 22.9% | 23.8% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.3% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 6.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 31.8% | 27.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 9.3% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.