Race 9B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Lippincott 17.1% 17.9% 18.1% 16.0% 12.8% 9.9% 5.3% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 27.9% 21.1% 17.0% 13.7% 10.1% 6.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 19.4% 19.1% 17.5% 17.8% 11.3% 7.0% 5.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 2.9% 4.6% 4.9% 6.4% 7.3% 10.4% 14.5% 18.4% 15.7% 10.7% 4.2%
James Scanlon 9.1% 9.8% 11.9% 10.9% 15.3% 12.2% 12.2% 10.6% 5.4% 2.5% 0.1%
Evan Gregory 7.0% 8.9% 8.7% 10.7% 12.0% 14.8% 14.1% 11.9% 7.2% 4.1% 0.6%
Steven Bell 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 6.3% 10.2% 13.8% 20.4% 21.0% 12.1%
Lindsay Wright 4.5% 4.3% 4.7% 7.3% 10.1% 12.7% 12.6% 16.0% 15.6% 9.1% 3.1%
Zachary Vickerson 7.8% 9.4% 10.7% 10.4% 12.5% 13.2% 13.8% 11.7% 7.2% 2.3% 1.0%
Francis Dougherty 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 4.5% 5.4% 7.2% 14.0% 27.3% 33.4%
Bailey Rice 0.8% 0.4% 2.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.9% 5.8% 12.5% 22.7% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.