← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.14+0.76vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-0.09+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.60+0.85vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.14vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-1.73+0.36vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-0.57-2.26vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.76University of Wisconsin1.1452.6%1st Place
-
3.1Marquette University-0.0916.0%1st Place
-
3.85Michigan State University-0.609.0%1st Place
-
4.14Grand Valley State University-0.857.0%1st Place
-
5.36Western Michigan University-1.733.5%1st Place
-
3.74Hope College-0.5710.2%1st Place
-
6.03Michigan Technological University-1.711.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 52.6% | 27.1% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 16.0% | 22.0% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 9.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 4.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 6.8% |
| Keegan Aerts | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 31.7% | 28.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 10.2% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.