Race 10B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Lippincott 16.8% 18.1% 17.2% 16.2% 11.9% 10.8% 5.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
James Scanlon 8.4% 10.3% 10.6% 11.8% 14.6% 14.7% 11.9% 9.6% 6.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 24.4% 21.2% 18.6% 13.3% 11.2% 6.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 20.7% 18.5% 17.4% 16.7% 11.4% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 6.6% 8.0% 10.2% 14.6% 18.4% 14.9% 9.7% 3.2%
Francis Dougherty 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 9.5% 14.3% 26.0% 34.5%
Zachary Vickerson 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 11.8% 12.8% 15.2% 13.1% 9.0% 5.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Evan Gregory 8.2% 8.1% 10.0% 11.2% 12.8% 12.6% 12.8% 12.7% 7.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Steven Bell 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.1% 9.9% 12.6% 21.7% 22.5% 13.3%
Lindsay Wright 4.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 8.5% 11.6% 14.7% 16.2% 15.4% 10.1% 2.9%
Bailey Rice 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 4.6% 5.9% 11.6% 23.9% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.