Race 11B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Proctor 20.6% 19.6% 18.5% 15.5% 11.8% 7.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 27.0% 21.8% 17.5% 12.4% 10.5% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 16.5% 16.2% 17.7% 17.4% 11.0% 10.5% 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 7.3% 8.7% 7.8% 12.1% 14.8% 14.6% 12.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.0% 0.2%
James Scanlon 8.7% 9.7% 12.7% 12.0% 12.9% 12.3% 14.3% 8.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Priscilla Stoll 3.8% 4.6% 5.4% 5.9% 8.7% 12.2% 13.6% 15.9% 15.2% 11.3% 3.4%
Francis Dougherty 0.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 5.2% 8.9% 14.2% 27.5% 31.9%
Steven Bell 2.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.7% 4.3% 6.5% 11.1% 13.2% 21.9% 20.9% 11.5%
Bailey Rice 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 6.8% 10.3% 22.0% 49.2%
Evan Gregory 8.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.7% 12.8% 13.6% 14.0% 11.1% 8.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Lindsay Wright 3.3% 5.1% 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 11.6% 12.9% 17.6% 14.2% 9.9% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.