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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+0.73vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.09+1.09vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+0.91vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.08vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.57-1.25vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.73-0.68vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of Wisconsin1.1453.5%1st Place
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3.09Marquette University-0.0916.1%1st Place
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3.91Michigan State University-0.608.6%1st Place
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4.08Grand Valley State University-0.857.6%1st Place
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3.75Hope College-0.579.6%1st Place
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5.32Western Michigan University-1.733.2%1st Place
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6.13Michigan Technological University-1.711.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 53.5% | 27.8% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 16.1% | 23.1% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 13.9% | 4.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.6% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 6.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 9.6% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Keegan Aerts | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 32.6% | 25.8% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 19.5% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.