Race 12B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Bailey Rice 1.9% 0.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 6.8% 13.3% 23.9% 45.0%
Steven Bell 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 6.1% 10.0% 15.4% 23.6% 22.9% 14.0%
Francis Dougherty 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 3.8% 5.4% 8.8% 15.7% 28.0% 33.4%
Evan Gregory 9.9% 11.7% 18.3% 18.4% 16.3% 13.5% 8.7% 2.8% 0.4%
Lindsay Wright 5.4% 7.7% 10.9% 13.1% 15.4% 17.2% 16.6% 9.8% 3.9%
James Scanlon 11.4% 13.9% 17.2% 21.0% 16.6% 12.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.2%
Priscilla Stoll 5.2% 6.3% 7.9% 12.3% 18.9% 19.8% 15.7% 10.8% 3.1%
Kelly McGlynn 34.3% 27.4% 17.9% 11.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 28.6% 27.9% 20.3% 11.2% 7.7% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.