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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+0.70vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.85+2.13vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+0.87vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.73+1.35vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09-1.83vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.57-2.23vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.71-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7University of Wisconsin1.1454.9%1st Place
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4.13Grand Valley State University-0.857.4%1st Place
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3.87Michigan State University-0.608.5%1st Place
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5.35Western Michigan University-1.732.8%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University-0.0915.5%1st Place
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3.77Hope College-0.579.5%1st Place
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6.02Michigan Technological University-1.711.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 54.9% | 27.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.4% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 7.4% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.5% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 4.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 30.9% | 27.8% |
| Eli Erling | 15.5% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 9.5% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.