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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.85+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14-0.28vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+0.78vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.09-1.04vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.73-0.01vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.57-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Grand Valley State University-0.858.0%1st Place
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1.72University of Wisconsin1.1453.6%1st Place
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3.78Michigan State University-0.608.3%1st Place
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2.96Marquette University-0.0917.0%1st Place
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4.99Western Michigan University-1.733.0%1st Place
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3.61Hope College-0.5710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Irwin | 8.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 25.7% | 16.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 53.6% | 28.5% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.3% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 14.3% |
| Eli Erling | 17.0% | 23.8% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 53.7% |
| Jack Rutherford | 10.1% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.