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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+0.67vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.09+1.03vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+0.82vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.57-0.46vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.73+0.02vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Wisconsin1.1456.0%1st Place
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3.03Marquette University-0.0916.4%1st Place
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3.82Michigan State University-0.608.2%1st Place
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3.54Hope College-0.5710.2%1st Place
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5.02Western Michigan University-1.733.2%1st Place
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3.92Grand Valley State University-0.855.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 56.0% | 26.6% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 16.4% | 23.6% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.2% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 24.6% | 13.9% |
| Jack Rutherford | 10.2% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 10.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 54.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 5.9% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 21.8% | 23.0% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.