← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.71+7.21vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.23+4.39vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.97+4.35vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.48+1.77vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.50+0.57vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.82+1.95vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.74+1.27vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.81-0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.99-1.79vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.41-0.52vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.76vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.02-4.73vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.34-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.29-4.30vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.60-2.81vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University0.23-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.21Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.35Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.77Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
5.57Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.95Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.27Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.85Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.21University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.48Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
-
8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.27University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.64Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.7Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.19Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
-
14.93Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 26.5% | 13.6% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.