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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.60+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14-0.31vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.09+0.04vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.73-0.03vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.57-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Michigan State University-0.608.9%1st Place
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1.69University of Wisconsin1.1455.0%1st Place
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3.04Marquette University-0.0914.7%1st Place
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3.94Grand Valley State University-0.857.3%1st Place
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4.97Western Michigan University-1.733.2%1st Place
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3.56Hope College-0.5710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brynna Smith | 8.9% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 23.2% | 23.8% | 13.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 55.0% | 27.2% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 14.7% | 24.9% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 25.1% | 16.6% |
| Keegan Aerts | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 54.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 10.8% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.