Race 5A

bu-president

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Natalie Salk 13.3% 12.2% 11.5% 9.5% 9.3% 8.7% 6.7% 7.4% 5.8% 3.9% 4.1% 3.7% 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Claire Dennis 12.5% 12.5% 11.4% 10.4% 8.2% 8.8% 7.3% 7.3% 3.9% 6.5% 3.6% 2.9% 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 7.3% 7.6% 6.5% 7.5% 6.8% 6.6% 8.8% 7.8% 9.2% 7.5% 5.5% 7.4% 4.1% 4.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Elise Gehling 2.8% 4.1% 5.3% 4.0% 5.6% 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 8.5% 7.4% 9.3% 11.4% 12.0% 3.6%
Chanel Miller 7.2% 7.7% 6.8% 8.4% 8.9% 7.9% 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.0% 6.0% 4.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.0% 4.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 6.5% 5.7% 1.4%
Chandler Salisbury 10.6% 9.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.4% 5.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Annie Schmidt 6.0% 5.7% 6.3% 6.8% 6.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 6.7% 8.0% 7.2% 8.7% 6.6% 4.0% 0.7%
Sky Adams 5.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 7.0% 8.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 6.4% 6.3% 6.8% 4.8% 4.2% 1.4%
Laura Dunphy 5.7% 5.8% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.1% 9.2% 9.1% 6.1% 6.6% 4.3% 0.6%
Catherine Thies 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 5.8% 8.6% 70.3%
Megan Yeigh 7.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.7% 8.2% 7.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.3% 4.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Sarah Fiske 3.3% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 7.2% 5.6% 7.4% 9.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.6% 2.3%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.2% 4.9% 6.2% 5.4% 5.7% 5.5% 8.2% 6.4% 7.1% 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 3.6%
Hillary Paulsen 2.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 4.6% 4.2% 3.5% 4.7% 7.0% 9.0% 12.1% 27.7% 13.5%
Morgan Russom 5.8% 5.9% 6.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 7.3% 7.2% 6.6% 6.2% 3.6% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.