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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+3.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+5.40vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+1.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+1.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-3.40vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.60+2.11vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-3.08vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-2.18vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-6.56vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.41-4.74vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.23-0.13vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.11Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.92Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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14.87Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 29.3% | 12.3% |
| Sky Adams | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 3.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 73.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.