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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+4.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+4.10vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+4.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+1.44vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41+2.49vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.88vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-1.60vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-1.16vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-5.55vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.23+1.86vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.60-2.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-7.68vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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14.86Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.97Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.32Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Sky Adams | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 69.7% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 24.4% | 13.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.