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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.34+8.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+5.17vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+1.47vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+1.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-2.53vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-0.87vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-1.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-5.42vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-2.61vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-3.17vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.60-2.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.65vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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14.97Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 3.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 25.7% | 12.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.