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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+6.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+4.94vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+4.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+0.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+1.99vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-1.79vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-0.26vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-5.42vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-2.19vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-4.71vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.60-2.03vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.41-5.43vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.97Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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14.93Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 26.8% | 12.5% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 2.3% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.