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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.17+1.32vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.56+0.98vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.44+0.10vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.65-0.69vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.55-0.37vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.88-0.89vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Wisconsin0.1734.5%1st Place
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2.98Michigan State University-0.5620.2%1st Place
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3.1Grand Valley State University-0.4418.9%1st Place
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3.31Western Michigan University-0.6515.0%1st Place
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4.63Hope College-1.556.2%1st Place
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5.11Marquette University-1.884.3%1st Place
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6.55Saginaw Valley State University-3.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 34.5% | 26.5% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 20.2% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Corder | 18.9% | 19.8% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack LeFevre | 15.0% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Connor Bricco | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 26.8% | 28.4% | 7.5% |
| Zach Sonkin | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 41.0% | 12.0% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.