← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.17+1.29vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-0.44+1.13vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.56-0.02vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-0.65-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-1.55-0.43vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-1.88-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.29University of Wisconsin0.1735.2%1st Place
-
3.13Grand Valley State University-0.4418.1%1st Place
-
2.98Michigan State University-0.5620.6%1st Place
-
3.33Western Michigan University-0.6515.6%1st Place
-
4.57Hope College-1.556.1%1st Place
-
5.12Marquette University-1.883.2%1st Place
-
6.58Saginaw Valley State University-3.551.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 35.2% | 27.8% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Corder | 18.1% | 19.8% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 20.6% | 21.6% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack LeFevre | 15.6% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Bricco | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 25.6% | 28.3% | 6.6% |
| Zach Sonkin | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 40.7% | 13.0% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 11.7% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.