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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.17+1.28vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.44+1.18vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.56-0.06vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.88+1.08vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.65-1.67vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.63-1.33vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Wisconsin0.1735.4%1st Place
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3.18Grand Valley State University-0.4417.0%1st Place
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2.94Michigan State University-0.5621.1%1st Place
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5.08Marquette University-1.884.0%1st Place
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3.33Western Michigan University-0.6514.9%1st Place
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4.67Hope College-1.636.3%1st Place
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6.52Saginaw Valley State University-3.551.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 35.4% | 27.7% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Corder | 17.0% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 21.1% | 21.5% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Zach Sonkin | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 40.6% | 11.6% |
| Jack LeFevre | 14.9% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 24.9% | 29.9% | 8.4% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.