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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+4.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+6.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+5.34vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.41+5.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+0.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+3.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+1.01vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+0.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-2.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-4.55vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-3.99vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-5.76vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.97-6.77vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.23-0.15vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.60-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.01Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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14.85Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.17Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Sky Adams | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 71.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 27.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.