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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.17+1.33vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.44+1.18vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.56-0.04vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.63+0.65vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.65-1.68vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.88-1.02vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Wisconsin0.1734.7%1st Place
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3.18Grand Valley State University-0.4417.1%1st Place
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2.96Michigan State University-0.5620.6%1st Place
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4.65Hope College-1.635.9%1st Place
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3.32Western Michigan University-0.6516.3%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University-1.884.7%1st Place
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6.57Saginaw Valley State University-3.550.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 34.7% | 25.9% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Corder | 17.1% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Eva Rossell | 20.6% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 24.5% | 31.0% | 7.0% |
| Jack LeFevre | 16.3% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Zach Sonkin | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 38.0% | 11.8% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.