Race 1A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samuel Gavula 14.9% 15.8% 13.0% 14.9% 11.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.3% 3.2%
Lauren Ehnot 14.8% 12.8% 12.3% 12.7% 12.2% 11.8% 10.0% 9.2% 4.2%
Connor Mraz 10.3% 10.2% 12.7% 11.2% 11.0% 12.2% 13.0% 11.3% 8.1%
Nicholas Sessions 15.8% 14.5% 14.9% 13.8% 12.7% 10.8% 8.4% 6.6% 2.5%
Reed Weston 11.4% 12.4% 12.3% 11.8% 11.9% 12.5% 11.5% 10.6% 5.6%
Lars Osell 9.1% 10.8% 10.7% 11.4% 11.8% 12.6% 11.7% 13.6% 8.5%
Thomas Walker 8.5% 8.3% 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 11.6% 14.5% 14.7% 13.4%
Stewart Gurnell 12.2% 11.8% 11.1% 11.0% 12.6% 11.5% 12.2% 10.4% 7.2%
Samuel Stephens 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.1% 6.1% 7.2% 10.0% 15.2% 47.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.