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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.44+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.60+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.36+1.72vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-0.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-1.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.87-1.97vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.01-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Cornell University1.4413.6%1st Place
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4.18University of Pennsylvania1.6015.7%1st Place
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4.72University of Wisconsin1.3611.6%1st Place
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4.8Washington College1.6611.8%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.2211.3%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.5913.9%1st Place
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5.03Princeton University1.8710.3%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.998.6%1st Place
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7.34University of Michigan-0.013.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Lauren Ehnot | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
Samuel Gavula | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
Reed Weston | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
Stewart Gurnell | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
Lars Osell | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 7.3% |
Nicholas Sessions | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
Connor Mraz | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
Thomas Walker | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.5% |
Samuel Stephens | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.