Race 3A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Stewart Gurnell 10.0% 11.8% 11.2% 12.5% 13.1% 11.6% 11.9% 10.8% 7.2%
Nicholas Sessions 16.8% 14.8% 14.6% 12.4% 10.8% 11.2% 8.6% 7.8% 3.0%
Connor Mraz 10.2% 11.9% 10.4% 12.4% 10.4% 11.7% 13.7% 12.4% 7.0%
Samuel Gavula 13.6% 15.2% 14.0% 14.0% 12.9% 10.6% 9.7% 7.2% 2.9%
Thomas Walker 8.5% 6.9% 9.4% 9.4% 11.4% 12.0% 13.6% 16.4% 12.3%
Lauren Ehnot 14.8% 12.3% 12.7% 11.1% 12.6% 12.2% 11.2% 8.2% 4.8%
Reed Weston 12.8% 12.2% 11.8% 12.2% 12.8% 11.3% 10.7% 9.8% 6.2%
Lars Osell 10.1% 11.2% 11.4% 11.2% 11.3% 12.4% 12.2% 12.5% 7.8%
Samuel Stephens 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 7.0% 8.3% 14.8% 48.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.