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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+4.35vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+4.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.29+5.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+3.03vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+0.64vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.47+0.21vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.97+1.07vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-4.25vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.05-1.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-2.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.70vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.59-2.71vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-5.67vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.40-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.31Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.07Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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14.41Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Sara Swanson | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 11.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.