Race 4A

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samuel Gavula 15.8% 13.1% 13.9% 12.7% 12.9% 10.9% 8.8% 8.5% 3.5%
Reed Weston 12.0% 11.2% 13.2% 11.6% 12.0% 12.0% 11.8% 10.5% 5.5%
Connor Mraz 10.2% 11.1% 10.8% 11.4% 11.6% 11.5% 12.0% 13.0% 8.5%
Lars Osell 10.1% 10.8% 10.9% 12.3% 11.8% 12.8% 12.2% 11.5% 7.5%
Thomas Walker 7.3% 8.7% 8.9% 9.8% 10.6% 12.4% 13.0% 16.0% 13.3%
Lauren Ehnot 12.5% 14.0% 13.1% 13.2% 11.5% 12.1% 11.0% 8.6% 4.0%
Stewart Gurnell 11.5% 12.3% 11.4% 11.0% 11.3% 11.9% 12.5% 11.2% 6.9%
Nicholas Sessions 17.2% 15.2% 13.5% 13.8% 12.4% 9.7% 8.6% 6.8% 2.9%
Samuel Stephens 3.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 5.9% 6.6% 10.0% 14.0% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.