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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.53+8.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+3.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.63+3.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+2.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-1.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.33-2.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-3.06vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.61-2.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.52vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.57+1.46vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.14vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.48-2.52vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.56-6.90vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida4.10-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Fordham University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.95College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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5.0Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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15.46Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.86SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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13.48Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.1Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Shorett | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Vann | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Leighton | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Gary Herring | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 62.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 27.0% | 20.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.3% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Mitchell Hall | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.