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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.49+1.64vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.09+1.07vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.95+0.91vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.64-1.97vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97-1.04vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.34-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Purdue University-0.4924.1%1st Place
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3.07Ohio State University0.0916.5%1st Place
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3.91Ohio State University-0.958.2%1st Place
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2.03Ohio State University0.6442.8%1st Place
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3.96Ohio State University-0.977.0%1st Place
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5.38Michigan State University-2.341.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 24.1% | 26.7% | 22.4% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.2% |
| Emily Williams | 16.5% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 22.4% | 14.4% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Jones | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 23.4% | 29.8% | 11.8% |
| Emma Hershey | 42.8% | 26.8% | 18.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 28.7% | 14.2% |
| Quinn Schwartz | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.