Race 5A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Reed Weston 13.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.5% 12.0% 11.5% 11.3% 11.2% 6.9%
Stewart Gurnell 11.1% 10.9% 11.5% 11.8% 11.9% 12.4% 11.3% 11.2% 7.9%
Connor Mraz 10.0% 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 13.2% 12.9% 11.8% 12.7% 8.8%
Lauren Ehnot 12.4% 14.1% 11.8% 13.7% 12.4% 12.4% 10.0% 9.2% 4.1%
Cole Woodworth 14.5% 14.6% 14.8% 12.7% 11.7% 10.4% 10.2% 7.4% 3.6%
Nicholas Sessions 16.4% 14.0% 14.7% 13.8% 11.5% 10.7% 10.0% 5.8% 3.3%
Thomas Walker 8.6% 10.1% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 10.8% 13.9% 16.3% 11.6%
Samuel Stephens 3.6% 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 8.5% 15.5% 45.4%
Lars Osell 10.2% 10.3% 11.7% 11.8% 11.6% 11.9% 13.1% 10.8% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.