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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+3.67vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+6.00vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.47+3.42vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.59+5.38vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+1.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.73vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-0.69vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-3.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-5.41vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-5.08vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-4.25vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-4.76vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.40-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.27Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.36Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.24Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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14.4Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 5.0% |
| Sara Swanson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 12.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katja Sertl | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.