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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.44+3.43vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.36+1.81vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.86vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-2.84vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.01-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Cornell University1.4413.6%1st Place
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5.01Princeton University1.879.9%1st Place
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4.81University of Wisconsin1.3610.8%1st Place
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4.8Washington College1.6611.9%1st Place
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4.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.2210.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Pennsylvania1.5817.2%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.5915.4%1st Place
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5.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.997.8%1st Place
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7.13University of Michigan-0.013.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Lauren Ehnot | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
Connor Mraz | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
Reed Weston | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
Stewart Gurnell | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
Lars Osell | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
Cole Woodworth | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
Nicholas Sessions | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
Thomas Walker | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% |
Samuel Stephens | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.