Race 9A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Sessions 13.2% 14.1% 13.6% 14.0% 13.2% 10.9% 9.7% 8.3% 2.9%
Lars Osell 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 12.0% 12.6% 13.9% 12.8% 15.3% 6.9%
Hayden Earl 27.5% 22.9% 17.9% 12.1% 9.8% 5.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Samuel Gavula 12.3% 13.1% 14.1% 14.3% 12.4% 11.9% 10.7% 7.8% 3.2%
Stewart Gurnell 9.7% 10.5% 11.2% 12.0% 11.3% 12.6% 14.5% 11.8% 6.2%
Connor Mraz 9.8% 9.3% 10.8% 11.2% 12.2% 13.1% 14.4% 11.9% 7.3%
Reed Weston 10.5% 9.7% 11.4% 12.0% 12.3% 14.3% 12.4% 11.8% 5.5%
Thomas Walker 7.1% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 11.9% 12.8% 14.1% 18.1% 8.8%
Jack Hammett 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 4.2% 5.0% 8.1% 14.0% 59.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.