← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+4.32vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.98+4.51vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.56+5.06vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.01+2.56vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.23+4.20vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.97+4.23vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.47+1.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.59+3.29vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.71vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.58-1.97vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.05-1.17vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.29-2.99vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.05-3.19vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.75-6.83vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University0.40-0.59vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.21-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.51Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
8.06Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.2University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.23Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.5Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.29University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
-
6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.03Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.83Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.01Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.81Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.17Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
14.41Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.79Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 6.8% |
| Sara Swanson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 11.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Katja Sertl | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 4.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 62.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.