Race 10A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Connor Mraz 8.9% 8.9% 10.9% 10.4% 12.3% 13.9% 14.8% 13.9% 5.9%
Hayden Earl 26.4% 23.3% 17.2% 13.5% 8.9% 5.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Stewart Gurnell 10.2% 11.0% 10.7% 12.3% 11.6% 13.4% 12.7% 12.8% 5.3%
Thomas Walker 7.1% 7.9% 9.5% 10.3% 10.9% 13.1% 13.4% 16.8% 11.2%
Nicholas Sessions 15.0% 13.2% 12.6% 13.9% 12.8% 11.3% 10.8% 7.8% 2.6%
Lars Osell 8.2% 8.2% 10.7% 11.3% 13.7% 13.5% 12.8% 14.2% 7.3%
Reed Weston 11.1% 11.3% 12.0% 12.3% 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 12.0% 5.1%
Samuel Gavula 11.2% 14.0% 13.2% 13.1% 13.4% 12.2% 11.7% 8.2% 3.1%
Jack Hammett 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.9% 5.1% 8.3% 12.6% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.