Race 10B

bu-president

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emily Billing 12.0% 14.0% 11.0% 11.1% 9.6% 9.6% 6.2% 6.8% 4.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Mariel Marchand 9.3% 10.4% 9.0% 8.6% 8.9% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 8.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Rosalind Lesh 9.3% 9.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.2% 6.7% 5.7% 5.3% 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Victoria McGruer 2.8% 4.1% 4.3% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.0% 7.2% 8.0% 9.9% 11.3% 12.0% 4.7%
Sara Anibal 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8% 3.1% 4.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 7.2% 7.1% 9.7% 13.0% 18.0% 12.7%
Sara Swanson 4.9% 5.1% 6.3% 7.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 6.1% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 8.4% 6.5% 5.1% 1.7%
Johanna Kincaid 10.6% 9.1% 8.2% 7.7% 8.9% 8.4% 7.3% 7.0% 8.6% 6.2% 5.7% 5.3% 3.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Courtney Koos 6.8% 6.0% 7.6% 6.3% 6.2% 6.7% 7.9% 5.9% 7.3% 7.4% 8.0% 8.3% 5.7% 4.9% 3.6% 1.4%
Laura Maranto 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 6.0% 11.1% 61.5%
Liz Dubovik 7.4% 6.9% 6.8% 5.9% 8.6% 7.3% 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 7.0% 7.6% 6.0% 4.0% 4.2% 2.7% 0.7%
Sophie Bermudez 7.0% 6.0% 5.5% 7.5% 6.4% 6.6% 5.9% 8.3% 6.4% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.2% 6.8% 4.2% 0.7%
Sarah Williams 11.7% 11.9% 11.9% 9.9% 6.8% 7.8% 8.1% 6.6% 7.0% 5.6% 4.2% 3.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.5% 3.4% 5.6% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.1% 7.5% 11.2% 8.7% 11.3% 7.1%
Katja Sertl 5.3% 2.8% 5.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.6% 7.4% 6.9% 9.2% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 1.8%
Mackenzie Needham 4.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 5.7% 6.5% 7.4% 7.2% 6.7% 9.5% 10.9% 9.4% 1.5%
Lindsey Kennett 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.0% 4.4% 6.7% 6.2% 6.4% 8.0% 10.5% 8.4% 10.3% 10.3% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.